UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-17 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.62500,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.06250,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.09375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 113.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.53125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad weekly decline, with price below the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid centers and beneath all six declining benchmark averages. The current pivot sequence retains lower highs and lower lows, while 109.62500 is the active pivot-low support. The recent small bars near this low reflect a compressed pause after the selloff rather than a confirmed trend reversal; 114.06250 is the next pivot-high reversal reference, with the 5-day and 10-day benchmarks forming nearby overhead trend pressure.