UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-17 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.28125,
Bars: Small,
Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -4%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -10%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -21%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.68750,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.93750,
5. Levels R: 115.16875, 115.140625, 115.078125, 115.006250, 114.993750,
6. Levels S: 109.68750, 109.62500.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.9375 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.65625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 111.1875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.8125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.1875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120
14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad bearish swing structure, with price below every daily benchmark and all benchmark trends pointing down. The decline has extended beneath the August MSFG and weekly F0% areas, while both pivot measures remain in DTrend. Small recent bars near the 109.62500-109.68750 support zone indicate consolidation after a sharp selloff rather than a confirmed reversal; the next opposite pivot level remains materially higher at 111.93750. The persistent sequence of lower highs, lower lows, negative Fib-grid positioning, and recent short-direction system signals keeps the technical tone bearish across the short, intermediate, and long-term cycles.