UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-14 07:11 CT

Price Action

Last: 110.5625,
Bars: Small,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -17%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 2%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -19%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.6250,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.9375,
5. Levels R: 115.6875, 115.4063, 114.7813, 114.0625, 113.9375,
6. Levels S: 109.6875, 109.6250.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.5625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.6250 Up Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 111.3438 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.9063 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.1875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.2500 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 35.9375,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

14 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
11 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
06 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad bearish swing structure, with both pivot trend measures in DTrend and price trading beneath the declining 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks. The August MSFG is marginally above its F0% line, reflecting a localized countertrend stabilization, while the weekly and yearly grids remain below F0% and retain downside alignment. Small daily bars and slow momentum indicate consolidation near the 109.6250 swing-low support area after the July-August selloff. The short moving averages have flattened slightly above price, but the next confirmed opposing pivot remains 111.9375, leaving the recent bounce structurally contained beneath nearby resistance and the declining intermediate-term averages.