UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-13 07:11 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.62500,
Bars: Small,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -21%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 0%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
MSFG Trend: Neutral.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -20%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.12500,
5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.71875 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.56250 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.21875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.31250 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.68750 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

11 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
10 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
06 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is in a broad weekly decline, printing lower pivot highs and lower pivot lows while trading beneath every benchmark average. The current decline has extended to the 109.62500 pivot-low support area with fast downside momentum; the small weekly bar reflects price compression at this low rather than a confirmed reversal. The monthly grid is neutral at its midpoint, but the weekly and yearly grids remain below F0%, preserving bearish alignment across the short- and long-term structure. A recovery through the 114.12500 next-pivot level would be the first meaningful change in the immediate pivot sequence, while the prevailing trend remains defined by the breakdown beneath the 111.71875 to 125.68750 moving-average resistance band.