UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-13 07:11 CT

Price Action

Last: 109.9375,
Bars: Small,
Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -21%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 0%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
MSFG Trend: Neutral.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -20%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.9375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.93750,
5. Levels R: 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250, 149.93750,
6. Levels S: 109.68750, 109.62500.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.53125 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 110.625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 111.4375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 112.96875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.21875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 35.3125,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

11 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
10 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
06 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price remains beneath every daily benchmark, while both the short-term pivot trend and intermediate HiLo structure remain in DTrend. The August monthly grid is neutral, reflecting consolidation near the lower portion of the recent decline, but the weekly and yearly grids remain below their F0% references. Small daily bars and slowing momentum indicate a compressed, choppy pause near the 109.69 and 109.63 support area following the sharp July-August selloff. The current pivot-low evolution at 109.9375 contrasts with the 111.93750 next-pivot reversal level, leaving the broader sequence defined by lower highs, lower lows, and persistent moving-average downside alignment.