UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-11 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.62500,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -33%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.12500,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.71875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.56250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.21875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.31250 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.68750 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 11 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 109.71875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 10 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.90625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 06 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad weekly downtrend, with price at a fresh pivot low and below every benchmark average. The recent bounce structure failed beneath the descending moving-average cluster, preserving lower-high and lower-low behavior. The 114.12500 pivot-high reversal level defines the nearest structural upside threshold, while 109.62500 is the active low and immediate downside reference. Weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib-grid readings are all below their F0% levels, aligning the short-, intermediate-, and long-term technical cycle to the downside.