UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-07 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.62500,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Momentum fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.12500,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40825,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.50000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.40625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.84375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 Aug 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 110.8125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 06 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has accelerated lower into a fresh 109.62500 pivot low, producing large weekly bars and fast downside momentum. The weekly and monthly Fib grids remain nominally upward and price is above their F0% levels, but these countertrend conditions contrast with the active DTrend pivot structure, lower-high/lower-low sequence, and all six declining benchmark averages. The yearly grid remains below F0% and down, confirming the broader bear-cycle backdrop. The 114.12500 next-pivot threshold defines the nearby swing reversal reference, while 109.62500 is the immediate structural low following the recent selloff.