UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-06 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.62500,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 34%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 16%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.12500,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.50000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.40625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.84375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is holding above the weekly and monthly Fib-grid centers, supporting a short-term recovery framework, but the current decline is large and fast and has produced a new 109.62500 pivot low. The pivot structure remains DTrend across both short and intermediate horizons, while price is below every listed weekly benchmark. The recent long signals and positive WSFG/MSFG readings contrast with broad moving-average weakness. Long-term structure remains bearish: price is below the yearly F0% level, the yearly grid is down, and the 100- and 200-day benchmarks continue to slope lower. The 114.12500 next-pivot level defines the near-term rebound threshold within the prevailing broader downtrend.