UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-06 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 111.09375,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 34%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 16%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -18%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 111.43750,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 109.87500,
5. Levels R: 115.16875, 115.140625, 115.078125, 115.006250, 114.993750,
6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.71875 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 111.375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.0625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.46875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.53125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.0625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

05 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 111.34375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120
04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB has produced a sharp rebound from the 109.62500 swing-low support area and the short-term pivot structure has turned higher. Price is above the rising 5-day benchmark and remains above the weekly and monthly F0% reference areas, supporting the near-term recovery theme. However, the bounce remains beneath the 10-day through 200-day benchmark cluster, while the intermediate HiLo pivot trend and yearly grid remain down. This frames the current advance as a short-term countertrend recovery within a broader bearish structure, with 111.43750 as the active pivot-high area and 109.87500 as the opposite-pivot reference. Volume is moderate and ATR indicates a more measured recovery than the high-volatility decline into late July.