UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-05 07:10 CT

Price Action

Last: 111.12500,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 53%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 27%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -16%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 113.75000,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 109.87500,
5. Levels R: 115.16875, 115.140625, 115.078125, 115.006250, 114.993750,
6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 110.84375 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 111.40625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.15625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.53125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.56250 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.65625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.9375 Signals.USAR.TR120
04 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has rebounded from the 109.62500 swing-support area and recovered above the weekly F0% level, producing a short-term UTrend and fresh long-system alignment. The rebound remains a countertrend recovery within a broader intermediate and long-term downtrend, as price remains beneath the declining 10-, 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks. The 111.40625 10-day average is the nearest overhead trend reference, while the 113.00000 to 113.75000 pivot-high zone defines the more important recovery ceiling. The structure reflects a sharp late-July selloff followed by a V-style bounce, with average momentum and improving volume participation rather than a broad higher-high intermediate trend.