UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-04 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.62500,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.62500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.06250,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.50000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.40625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.84375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly UB remains within a dominant long-term decline, with price below every benchmark average and the yearly fib structure still negative. The current swing pivot remains a DTrend and has evolved into a 109.62500 pivot low, while 114.06250 defines the next upside reversal threshold. The August weekly and monthly fib readings show a short-term countertrend recovery phase above their F0% levels, supported by the recent WSFG long signal, but this bounce has not yet altered the lower-high and lower-low intermediate structure. Small weekly bars and slow momentum characterize a compressed, choppy decline near the 2026 range lows.