UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-04 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 110.625,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -18%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.2500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 111.5000,
• 5. Levels R: 115.96875, 115.68750, 115.40625, 115.71825, 115.08250,
• 6. Levels S: 109.62500.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 111.5625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 111.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 112.28125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 113.625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 114.625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 116.71875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 03 Aug 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 110.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad daily downtrend, with price trading beneath every 5-day through 200-day benchmark and the pivot structure holding lower highs and lower lows. The recent decline reached the 109.2500 pivot-low area, followed by small-bodied stabilization bars near 110.625, indicating a short-term compression after the selloff rather than a confirmed trend reversal. The 111.5000 pivot-next level and clustered short-term averages near 111.53-111.56 define the nearest rebound threshold, while 109.6250 is the immediate support reference. Monthly and yearly Fib-grid positioning remain below their F0% areas, reinforcing the prevailing intermediate and long-term bearish structure.