UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Aug-03 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 109.6250,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -19%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 109.6250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.0625,
• 5. Levels R: 232.2500, 211.8125, 167.6250, 151.6875, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 109.6250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.5000 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.90625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.40625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 125.84375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 28 Jul 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 112.375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 27 Jul 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 112.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is forming a small-bar, slow-momentum response at the 109.6250 swing-low support area after a sustained weekly decline. The weekly and August fib-grid readings remain above their F0% references, reflecting a short-term countertrend recovery structure, while the pivot trend remains down and price is below every benchmark average. The 114.0625 next-pivot threshold and the descending 20- and 55-week benchmarks define the nearby recovery ceiling. The yearly grid, intermediate HiLo structure, and long-term moving-average alignment remain decisively bearish, preserving the broader sequence of lower highs and lower lows.