UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-17 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 113'16,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -38%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 112.15625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 162.15625, 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.71825, 150.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 112.15625, 110.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.90625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.43750 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.81250 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.56250 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.18750 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB remains in a broad bearish swing structure, with price below every daily benchmark and the monthly and yearly fib grids holding below their respective F0% levels. The weekly grid remains positive, creating a counter-trend short-term recovery backdrop, but the current pivot trend is down and the latest swing has evolved into a pivot low near 112.15625. Price action has compressed into smaller bars following the selloff, indicating slower downside momentum and consolidation near support. The 114.03125 pivot-next level defines the nearby rebound threshold, while 112.15625 and 110.78125 remain the primary downside structure levels. Volume has moderated after prior activity spikes, consistent with a lower-volatility pause inside the dominant intermediate- and long-term downtrend.