UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-15 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 112.00,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -41%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -71%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 110.78125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 114.15625,
• 5. Levels R: 162.93750, 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 112.21875, 110.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 113.09375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.96875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.03125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.84375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.25 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB 09-26 is in a broad downside structure with price pressed well below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, and the latest print sitting under every benchmark moving average. The pivot framework shows a confirmed short-term downtrend with the market having completed a lower swing low and still trading beneath the prior reaction high, while the broader hi/lo structure remains mixed-to-weaker after the latest rollover. Price action has transitioned from the June rally into a sharp rejection from the early-July swing high near 117.65625, followed by a fast selloff back toward the 112 area, leaving a clear sequence of lower highs and lower lows. The moving average stack is bearishly aligned and all benchmark trends are pointed down, reinforcing a sustained corrective-to-distribution phase rather than a constructive base.