UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-14 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 112.15625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -60%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.37500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.81250,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 112.37500, 110.78125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.15625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.46875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.46875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 126.34375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Bond futures remain in a clear downside swing structure, with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly NTZ/F0% midlines and all benchmark moving averages aligned in bearish sequence. The pivot framework still reflects a dominant downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows defining the tape and the next visible upside pivot only sitting above the current market after a sizable recovery. The recent weekly action shows weak momentum near the lower end of the yearly range, with price pressing toward support after failing under multiple resistance zones. Overall, the chart reflects a sustained bearish cycle with a broad corrective drift lower rather than a sustained base or recovery pattern.