UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-14 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 112.5000,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -24%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -60%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -13%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.37500,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 114.31250,
5. Levels R: 161.84375, 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250,
6. Levels S: 112.37500, 110.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 113.28125 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.37500 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.15625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 114.93750 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.78125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.28125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Treasury bonds remain in a broad downside cycle with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib bias lines as well as every listed benchmark moving average. The daily structure shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows, with the July NTZ area failing to hold and the market extending into a sharp selloff leg. Short-term pivot trend is still down, while the broader HiLo structure remains constructive enough to mark a two-sided market, but the dominant message is still trend deterioration. Volatility is elevated and volume expanded during the break, reinforcing the force of the move. The recent rebound attempts into June and early July were rejected near overhead resistance, leaving the chart in a continued bearish, momentum-driven state.