UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-13 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 113.03125,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: average.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -10%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -52%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -12%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.71875,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 114.71875,
5. Levels R: 117.65625, 116.78125, 115.40625, 114.78125, 114.06250,
6. Levels S: 112.71875, 110.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 113.65625 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.78125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.28125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.03125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.84375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.31250 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Bond futures remain in a broad downside swing with the latest rally attempt failing beneath the July high near 117.65625 and price rotating back below the 20, 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks. The swing structure is still dominated by lower highs and lower lows, with the current pivot trend aligned bearish and the monthly and weekly fib grids both below F0%, confirming a downward bias across timeframes. Recent price action looks like a retracement within a larger decline rather than a clean reversal, while the ATR and volume profile show enough movement for continued two-sided expansion. The current setup reflects a market that is still working through distribution and rejection at overhead resistance, with the July range sitting under the prior swing supply zone.