UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-09 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114.78125,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -77%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -55%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.71875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 114.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 117.62500, 115.68750, 115.40625, 115.078125, 115.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 112.71875, 110.78125, 110.71875, 110.06250, 109.71875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 114.25 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.34375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.15625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 115.96875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.375 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 07 Jul 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 114.21875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

June’s rebound has failed to reclaim the major moving average stack, and July price action is rolling back under the monthly and weekly session fib midlines with a bearish bias across WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG. The daily structure remains corrective to lower, with the short-term pivot trend still in DTrend while the HiLo pivot layer is trying to stabilize in UTrend, reflecting a choppy countertrend bounce inside a broader down cycle. Price is working below the 20/55/100/200-day benchmarks, which keeps the dominant trend pressure pointed lower even after the sharp V-shaped recovery from the May selloff low. The current setup looks like a lower-high test and rejection sequence near the 117.65 resistance zone, with the market now rotating back toward the mid-114s and the 112.72 pivot support area, consistent with a trend-resumption backdrop rather than a clean upside breakout.