UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-02 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114.50,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -102%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 114.53125,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 116.78125,
• 5. Levels R: 160.31250, 151.68750, 151.40625, 150.78125, 150.06250,
• 6. Levels S: 114.53125, 110.78125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.3125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 117.5 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Jun 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 116.21875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 30 Jun 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily structure remains under clear distribution pressure with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib bias lines as well as below the key benchmark moving averages. The chart shows a sharp rally failure from the late-June swing high, followed by a steep selloff back into the July monthly NTZ area, with the latest action clustering near the lower band after a large-range downswing. Short-term pivot structure is still in a downtrend, while the intermediate pivot hierarchy shows a broader rebound sequence that has not yet fully reversed the dominant bearish daily tone. The benchmark stack is mostly bearish, with the 5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day averages all sloping lower or trending down, reinforcing a weak trend backdrop. Trade signal history also reflects downside momentum, with recent short signals aligned to the failed breakout and retreat from the June high.