UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jul-01 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.65625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -99%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -8%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 117.65625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 113.21875,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 110.78125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.31250 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.78125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.06250 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.34375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.46875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 126.71875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Jun 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 116.21875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 30 Jun 2026: Short UB 09-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly price remains under the yearly, monthly, and weekly session fib midlines, keeping the broader structure aligned with the downtrend. The chart shows a sequence of lower highs and lower lows from the 2024 peak into the 2025-2026 decline, with the current swing pivot trend still turning up only at the very short-term level while the higher-level hi/lo structure remains bearish. Price is trading below the 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks, while only the faster 5, 10, and 20 day averages are holding above price support relationships, reflecting a short-lived rebound inside a larger downtrend. Recent signals also confirm downside alignment, with short entries printed near the current price zone. The most visible market behavior is a broad bearish consolidation/retracement pattern under declining resistance, with rallies stalling near prior pivot highs and the current black price marker sitting below the F0/NTZ reference.