UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Jun-15 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.5625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Jun

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 16%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 115.84375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 111.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 232.25000, 211.81250, 167.62500, 151.68750, 151.40625,
• 6. Levels S: 110.78125.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 113.6875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.71875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.09375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.40625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.65625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 127.125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Jun 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 12 Jun 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 114.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 11 Jun 2026: Long UB 09-26 @ 114.40625 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly structure remains broadly downtrend aligned, with price still sitting below the yearly and weekly fib midlines while the pivot framework shows the broader HiLo sequence is DTrend. The short-term pivot trend has turned UTrend off the recent low, and the latest long signals reflect a rebound attempt inside a larger corrective band rather than a clean long-duration reversal. Price is working around the 5 and 10 day benchmarks, but remains under the 20, 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks, keeping the larger trend pressure to the downside. The monthly fib context is the most constructive backdrop, as price is above the monthly NTZ center and the MSFG trend is Up, but the higher-timeframe yearly grid still sits in a negative zone. Overall, the chart shows a counter-trend bounce within a broader bear-leaning weekly and long-term structure, with recent swings forming a choppy, retracement-style consolidation after the prior selloff.