UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-26 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114.15625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 40%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 114.75000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 112.56250,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.62500, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 111.15625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.43750 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.25000 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.28125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.59375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.00000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.12500 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 25 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.25 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 25 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 20 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.5 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price has staged a sharp rebound from the early-May swing low near 111.15625, with a fast momentum surge back into the mid-114s and a strong intraday recovery off the latest selloff low. Short-term structure is constructive because the pivot trend is up and the weekly fib grid remains above its neutral zone, matching the recent long signals. Even so, the broader daily stack is still heavy: price remains below the 20, 55, 100, and 200-day benchmarks, and the monthly and yearly session grids are still in negative territory, keeping the intermediate and long-term tone aligned to the downside. The chart is showing a rebound within a larger downtrend, with the current move best described as a sharp countertrend rally inside a still-bearish larger cycle.