UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-25 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 111.15625,
Bars: Small,
Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 35%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -12%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -9%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.15625,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 115.96875,
5. Levels R: 232.62500, 212.18750, 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125,
6. Levels S: 111.15625.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 114.62500 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.28125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.90625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.12500 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.37500 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.31250 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

25 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.25 Signals.USAR.TR720
25 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.03125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
20 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.5 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB futures are in a broad downtrend with the weekly chart pressing near the lower end of the 2026 yearly session range and sitting below all benchmark moving averages, which keeps the larger structure bearish. The short-term weekly session fib grid is still positive above F0%, but the swing pivot structure remains DTrend and the HiLo trend is also DTrend, showing that the recent bounce has not yet changed the dominant swing sequence. Price is still trading under the 5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks, so rallies have continued to meet supply beneath layered resistance. The chart shows a pattern of lower highs and lower lows across 2024 through 2026, with the latest move extending the sequence into a fresh downside pivot low near 111.15625.