UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-22 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 111.15625,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -35%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -12%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.15625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.15625,
• 5. Levels R: 137.37500, 137.31250, 127.31250, 123.68750, 122.53125,
• 6. Levels S: 111.21875, 111.15625.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.37500 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.59375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.09375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.53125 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 21 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 113 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 20 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.5 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly structure remains in a downtrend, with price sitting near the lower end of the 2026 year session Fib grid and below the key benchmark moving averages. The short-term WSFG has turned positive, showing a countertrend bounce above the F0%/NTZ zone, but the pivot structure still reads DTrend and the broader trend stack remains negative. Intermediate and long-term pressure is intact as price trades under the 20, 55, 100, and 200 day benchmarks, while the pivot ladder still shows overhead resistance clustered at 122.53125, 123.68750, 127.31250, and 137.31250. The recent signal sequence reflects a mixed tape: a short entry on 14 May was followed by two long signals on 20 and 21 May, consistent with a rebound attempt inside a larger bearish weekly cycle. The chart is therefore dominated by a broader downtrend with a short-term recovery phase working against heavier overhead supply.