UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-21 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 112.00,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -55%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.15625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 113.1875,
• 5. Levels R: 168.0000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 111.15625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 112.625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 113.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 114.625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 115.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.15625 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 20 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.5 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 18 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB 06-26 is in a clear daily downtrend with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib midlines as well as all benchmark moving averages from 5 through 200 day. The pivot structure remains bearish with DTrend on both the short-term pivot and the higher-low framework, while the most recent action shows a sharp selloff into a fresh pivot low near 111.15625 followed by a bounce, which reads as a bearish retracement inside a larger decline. The market has heavy overhead supply from clustered prior pivot resistance and declining moving averages, while the recent large-range bars and elevated volume confirm fast momentum and expanded volatility. The swing profile remains dominated by lower highs, lower lows, and rejection from prior recovery attempts, keeping the broader tape aligned with trend continuation lower rather than a sustained reversal.