UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-19 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 112.00,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -24%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -60%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -16%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 111.93750,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 113.93750,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.62500, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 111.93750, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 113.43750 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 114.43750 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.09375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.09375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.21875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.21875 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 18 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 112.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.75 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily structure remains in a sustained downside sequence, with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly F0%/NTZ centers and below every benchmark moving average from 5-day through 200-day. The pivot framework is still in DTrend on both the short-term and intermediate-term read, and the latest leg shows a sharp acceleration lower after repeated failures near the 116-117 area and the May session box. Momentum is fast, the bar size is large, and the recent selloff has expanded away from the moving average stack, reinforcing a clean bearish trend profile with lower highs and lower lows dominating the tape. The recent long and short trade signals reflect this transition from failed rebound attempts into continued downside follow-through.