UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-15 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 113'01,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: Fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -156%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -40%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.90625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.03125,
• 5. Levels R: 232.62500, 212.18750, 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125,
• 6. Levels S: 112.90625, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.28125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.5 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.75 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 114.75 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB weekly structure remains firmly in a bearish swing regime, with price at 113'01 sitting below the WSFG, MSFG, and YSFG reference zones and under every listed benchmark moving average. The pivot framework is still aligned with a DTrend on both the short-term pivot and the intermediate HiLo trend, while the next pivot type remains a potential high only after price can recover back through the 118.03125 reversal point. The moving averages are stacked overhead and all sloping lower, reinforcing a persistent downtrend with no meaningful medium- or long-term trend repair yet. Recent signals show brief countertrend long attempts, but the dominant pattern is still downside continuation with lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a choppy-to-bearish weekly bond market that remains below key retracement and session-fib centers.