UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-14 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 114'14,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -75%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -12%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -9%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 113.78125,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.90625,
5. Levels R: 232.62500, 212.18750, 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125,
6. Levels S: 113.78125, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.125 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.28125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.5 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.6875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.75 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

14 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.0625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
08 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
07 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB 06-26 remains in a broad downside swing structure with the last print pressing near the lower end of the recent weekly range at 114'14. Price is below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib midlines, keeping the bias aligned to the downside across all three timeframes. The pivot model is still in DTrend on both the short-term and intermediate-term readings, while the benchmark stack is fully bearish with all tracked moving averages sloping lower and price trading beneath each one. Recent signals also favor the downside, with the latest short trigger following prior countertrend longs, highlighting a market that is still dominated by lower highs, lower lows, and failed recovery attempts beneath overhead resistance.