UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-13 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114.11,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -80%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -14%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.21875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.21875,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.56250, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 114.21875, 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.28125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.12500 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.78125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.40625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.31250 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 12 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.4375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 08 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 07 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB 06-26 is pressing the lower end of a broad downtrend with price below the weekly, monthly, and yearly Fib grid midpoints and trading under all benchmark moving averages. The daily swing structure remains in a bearish phase, with the current pivot trend and HiLo trend both aligned to the downside and the next pivot reversal level marked as a higher swing high above current price. Recent action shows a sharp selloff from the March peak, followed by a lower, choppy consolidation into May near the 114.12 to 114.22 support area. Momentum is fast, volatility is active, and the chart is still dominated by lower highs and lower lows, with rebounds repeatedly fading under descending moving averages and Fib resistance bands.