UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-12 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 115.91250,
Bars: Small,
Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -56%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -6%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -9%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 116.40625,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 114.40625,
5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.56250, 150.43750,
6. Levels S: 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.28125.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.4375 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.28125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.8025 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.4375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

08 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
07 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Daily structure remains pressured with price sitting below the monthly, weekly, and yearly fib zero lines, while the benchmark stack stays aligned in a broader downtrend. The short-term pivot trend is still up, but the intermediate hi/lo trend is down, showing a corrective bounce inside a larger bearish framework. Price is trading under the 20, 55, 100, and 200 day averages, which keeps the trend profile weak despite the recent rebound from the early-May low. The chart shows repeated inside-bar congestion and failed recovery attempts near the 116-117 area, followed by a drop back toward the 115 handle, suggesting a choppy consolidation with lower highs and ongoing overhead supply.