UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-11 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.98438,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 116.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 114.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.25 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.34375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 115.98438 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.6875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.46875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 32,
• VOLMA: 378K.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 07 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is rebounding from the early-May low near the 114.125 pivot support and has recovered back above the 5- and 10-day benchmarks, which keeps the near-term tape constructive. The broader structure remains mixed-to-lower because price is still under the 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages, and the HiLo pivot trend is still DTrend, showing the larger swing structure has not fully reversed. The monthly fib grid is still positive for May, while the weekly and yearly grids remain below F0%, leaving the higher-timeframe backdrop more defensive than the monthly bounce suggests. Recent signal flow reflects the same rotation: a short-term short was followed by long entries, matching the current transition from decline into a rebound phase with overhead resistance clustered around the 116.67 to 117.47 benchmark area.