UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-07 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.05,
• Bars: Small,
• Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 33%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 22%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: Neutral,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 116.04285,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 114.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.125 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.5 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.0625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.75 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.5 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 32,
• VOLMA: 412K.

Recent Trade Signals

• 06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB is trading in a choppy recovery after the late-April selloff and sharp May rebound, with price now back above the weekly and monthly fib midlines but still below the 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks. The short-term swing structure has turned up, and the latest sequence shows a rebound from the 114.125 area into the 116 handle, but intermediate momentum remains mixed because the broader moving-average stack is still bearish and the hi/lo pivot trend is neutral. The daily tape looks like a bounce inside a larger downtrend: near-term strength is present, yet the market still needs acceptance back above the 20-day and 55-day zones to shift the intermediate tone. The recent long signals align with the rebound phase, while the long-term structure remains pressured by the yearly fib bias below zero and the down-sloping major averages.