UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-06 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 116.00,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: 23%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 19%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -5%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 116.25000,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 114.31250,
5. Levels R: 118.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
6. Levels S: 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 114.9375 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.5625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.78125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.53125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 32,
VOLMA: 412K.

Recent Trade Signals

06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.84375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
06 May 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 115.28125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bullish,
Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The daily structure shows a sharp V-shaped rebound off the early-May low near 114.125, followed by a fast recovery back into the May session range and just under the nearby pivot high at 116.25. Short-term momentum is strong and the weekly/monthly fib grids remain in positive bias above their F0%/NTZ centers, matching the recent long signals. The larger trend backdrop is still heavier, with price trading below the 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks and the yearly fib context remaining below the center line. Overhead supply is concentrated around 116.78, 117.53, and 118.31, while the recent pullback/rebound sequence suggests a transition from selloff to recovery and range repair.