UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-05 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114.4375,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -66%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -13%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.12500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.37500,
• 5. Levels R: 232.62500, 212.18750, 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.12500, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.25 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.46875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.78125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Weekly price action remains in a broad bearish structure, trading below the yearly, monthly, and weekly F0%/NTZ centers with all benchmark averages sloping lower. The pivot framework is still locked in DTrend mode, and the current swing structure shows a completed push to a new low pivot at 114.12500 with the next opposite pivot type marked as a high at 119.37500. Price is sitting under the clustered moving average stack, which reinforces a sell-side dominant backdrop, while the recurring lower-high/lower-low pattern across the chart keeps the trend aligned to the downside. The recent short signal from the MSFG layer fits the broader multi-timeframe weakness, and the long-duration resistance shelves above continue to cap recovery attempts.