UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-05 07:08 CT

Price Action

Last: 114'13,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -66%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -13%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -10%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.12500,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.06250,
5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
6. Levels S: 114.12500, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.125 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 115.71875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.1875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.84375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.5625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

05 May 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 114.375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price is pressing into the lower end of the daily structure after a sustained multi-month decline, with the market holding below all benchmark moving averages and below the weekly, monthly, and yearly f0%/NTZ reference zones. The pivot model remains in DTrend, the hi/lo structure also points lower, and the latest pivot evolution is a downside pivot low near 114.12500 with the next opposite pivot reference up near 116.06250. The chart shows a failed recovery from the March peak and a subsequent breakdown through the April consolidation band, leaving price clustered near fresh lows and under the downward-sloping moving-average stack. The broader read is a bearish continuation environment with lower highs, lower lows, and persistent rejection beneath the session fib grids.