UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-04 07:08 CT

Price Action

Last: 114'30,
Bars: Large,
Mom: fast.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -33%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -1%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -8%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.53125,
5. Levels R: 232.62500, 212.18750, 188.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125,
6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.25 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.46875 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.625 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.78125 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 128.96875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

29 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB weekly structure remains dominated by a broad downside swing sequence with price holding below the yearly, monthly, and weekly F0%/NTZ reference zones. The latest candle action is large and fast, reinforcing an active downtrend rather than a sideways reset. Swing pivot structure is aligned bearish, with the current pivot trend and hi/lo trend both in DTrend, while the next pivot type points to a potential pivot high above current trade, but still within a larger lower-high framework. All benchmark moving averages are stacked in a declining configuration above price, confirming that the market remains below both intermediate and long-term trend references. The recent short signal fits the prevailing weekly and monthly downside bias, and the chart continues to show a market that is trading under prior resistance zones after repeated rejection from higher pivot bands.