UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-04 07:08 CT

Price Action

Last: 114'27,
Bars: Large,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -33%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: -1%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -8%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.53125,
5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
6. Levels S: 114.59375, 114.34375, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.4375 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 116 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.28125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.9375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.59375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.3125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 46,
VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

29 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Price remains under the weekly, monthly, and yearly F0/NTZ midlines, keeping the larger structure in a bearish alignment. Daily benchmarks are stacked in a clear downside slope, with price below all major moving averages and the 20/55/100/200-day sequence all pointing lower. Swing pivot structure is also in DTrend, with the latest evolution marked by a pivot low and the next pivot reference set to a pivot high above current trade, while support is concentrated in the 114.59/114.34 area and resistance sits overhead near 116.53 and higher legacy pivot levels. The recent sequence shows a sharp selloff from the March peak, a volatile April rebound, and then renewed weakness into early May, leaving the daily chart in a weak, trend-down posture with broad bearish control across short, intermediate, and long horizons.