UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-May-01 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 115.03,
Bars: Large,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -56%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 3%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -7%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.53125,
5. Levels R: 232.6250, 212.1875, 168.0000, 152.0625, 151.78125,
6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.15625 Up Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.3125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.53125 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.71875 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 120.84375 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 129.1875 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

29 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
23 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.1875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

UB weekly structure remains under pressure with price trading below the weekly and yearly F0%/NTZ bias lines, and the swing pivot model still locked in DTrend. The tape is showing a broad downtrend with only intermittent countertrend recoveries, while the nearest pivot support sits at 114.59375 followed by 111.21875. The 5-day benchmark is slightly supportive versus a stack of declining 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200-day benchmarks, which keeps the broader trend profile weak. The monthly grid is still positive, so the intermediate backdrop is more mixed than the weekly and yearly frames, reflecting a market that has been drifting lower inside a larger corrective range. Recent short signals on 23 Apr and 29 Apr align with the bearish weekly posture and the repeated failure to reclaim higher pivot resistance zones.