UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-May-01 07:07 CT

Price Action

Last: 115'04,
Bars: Medium,
Mom: Slow.

WSFG Weekly

Short-Term
WSFG Current: -56%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month May

Intermediate-Term
MSFG Current: 3%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

Long-Term
YSFG Current: -7%
F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

(Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
(Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 116.53125,
5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
6. Levels S: 114.59375, 114.34375, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

(Short-Term) 5 Day: 115.625 Down Trend,
(Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.15625 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.34375 Down Trend,
(Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.01060 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.61313 Down Trend,
(Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.29531 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

ATR: 32,
VOLMA: 413K.

Recent Trade Signals

29 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.9375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
23 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.1875 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

Short-Term: Bearish,
Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Bond futures are trading below the key weekly, monthly, and yearly fib biases, with the daily structure still leaning lower after a sharp March peak and a broad April decline. The swing pivot framework remains in a downside evolution, with price holding under the clustered benchmark moving averages and below the dominant longer-term trend lines. April’s rebound has been followed by renewed rejection near overhead resistance, while the latest price sits close to the lower end of the recent consolidation band and near the current pivot support area. Volatility remains contained versus the March expansion, but the sequence of lower highs, lower pivots, and bearish benchmark alignment keeps the broader tape in a downward posture.