UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-28 07:08 CT

Price Action

• Last: 115.4375,
• Bars: Large,
• Mom: slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -37%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 115.40625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 117.40625,
• 5. Levels R: 168.00000, 152.06250, 151.78125, 151.15625, 150.43750,
• 6. Levels S: 115.40625, 114.59375, 114.34375, 112.78125, 111.21875.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.34375 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.5625 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.21875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.28125 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 28 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 23 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.1875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 23 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

Bond futures are in a broad corrective-to-bearish structure with price trading below the weekly, monthly, and yearly session fib grids, and all benchmark moving averages aligned in down or flat-to-down conditions. The pivot structure remains DTrend on both short and intermediate views, with the latest swing low marked near 115.40625 and the next opposing pivot high above near 117.40625, keeping the market in a lower-high, lower-low sequence. Price is pressing beneath the 20-, 55-, 100-, and 200-day benchmarks, while recent sell signals across the short-term session fib and trend models reinforce the downside regime. The chart shows a recent sharp decline followed by a weak consolidation/rebound attempt, but the prevailing technical backdrop still reflects bearish momentum, choppy overhead supply, and a market that has not yet reclaimed the key trend-defining averages.