UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-20 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 129.38063,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 129.3125,
• 5. Levels R: 137.375, 137.3125, 123.6875, 122.53125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.64219 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.81969 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.91044 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 121.01000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 129.91406 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 160.0625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short- and intermediate-term trends have shifted bullish, as indicated by the WSFG and MSFG trends both pointing up and price holding above their respective NTZ/F0% levels. Recent trade signals confirm renewed buying interest, with multiple long entries triggered in mid-April. However, the long-term YSFG trend remains bearish, with price still below the yearly NTZ center and major moving averages (55, 100, 200 week) trending down, highlighting persistent overhead resistance. Swing pivots show the most recent evolution at a significant low (114.59375), with the next key pivot high at 129.3125 now being tested. Resistance levels cluster above, notably at 137.375 and 137.3125, while support is anchored at 114.59375 and 111.21875. The price action is characterized by medium bars and slow momentum, suggesting a cautious advance rather than a breakout rally. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, with a potential for further upside in the short to intermediate term, but faces a challenging long-term environment with major resistance overhead. This setup is typical of a market attempting a counter-trend rally within a broader bearish structure, with volatility likely to persist as price tests key resistance and support zones.