UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-20 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.24,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 117.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 115.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 117.1875, 116.90625, 116.65625,
• 6. Levels S: 115.53125, 115.0625, 114.4375, 114.28125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.56625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.35313 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.39688 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.0025 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.95125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.26297 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with short- and intermediate-term trends turning bullish as price action has moved above both the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers (NTZ/F0%). The swing pivot structure confirms this with an uptrend in both short-term and intermediate-term metrics, and recent pivots evolving to higher highs. However, the long-term trend remains bearish, as price is still below the yearly fib grid and all major long-term moving averages (100/200-day) are trending down. Recent trade signals have favored the long side, aligning with the current short- and intermediate-term uptrends. Volatility is moderate (ATR 46), and volume is steady. The market appears to be in a recovery phase, potentially staging a counter-trend rally within a broader long-term downtrend, with resistance levels overhead and support established from recent swing lows. This environment is typical of a market attempting to reverse or retrace within a larger bearish structure, with the potential for further upside if resistance levels are broken, but with caution warranted due to the prevailing long-term downtrend.