UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-19 18:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'16,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.3125,
• 5. Levels R: 123.6875, 122.53125, 120.0, 118.8125, 117.8125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.64219 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.81969 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.91406 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 129.38063 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 140.0625 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 160.0625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 17 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.90625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in a broad, persistent downtrend across intermediate and long-term timeframes, as indicated by the downward trends in all major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, and 200 week) and the negative bias in both the monthly and yearly session fib grids. Short-term, there is a slight upward bias with price currently above the weekly session fib grid center, but momentum remains slow and the swing pivot trend is still down, suggesting any bounce is tentative and not yet a confirmed reversal. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, reflecting attempts to capture a potential short-term rebound from support near 114'16, but resistance levels overhead (117'81 to 123'68) remain formidable. The chart structure shows a series of lower highs and lower lows, with price consolidating in a range after a significant sell-off, hinting at a possible base-building phase but with no clear breakout yet. Overall, the market remains under pressure, with any rallies likely to face resistance unless a decisive shift in trend or momentum emerges.