UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-17 07:07 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.56703,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -9%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.593125,
• 5. Levels R: 137.37500, 137.31250, 123.68750, 122.593125, 118.89047, 117.8125,
• 6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.89047 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 120.96781 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 129.86781 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 140.1243 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 156.56375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart continues to reflect a persistent bearish environment across all timeframes. Price action remains below all major session fib grid levels (weekly, monthly, yearly), with the last price trading under the NTZ center and all key moving averages, confirming sustained downward momentum. Both short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are down, with the most recent pivot low at 114.59375 acting as a key support, while resistance levels cluster well above current price, indicating significant overhead supply. Despite recent long trade signals, these appear to be countertrend attempts within a broader downtrend, as all benchmark moving averages (from 5-week to 200-week) are trending lower. The market structure suggests ongoing pressure, with lower highs and lower lows dominating, and no clear evidence yet of a reversal or sustained bounce. Volatility remains moderate, and the chart shows a pattern of failed rallies and continued selling into resistance zones. The overall technical landscape remains bearish, with any rallies likely to face strong resistance until a decisive change in trend structure emerges.