UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-16 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 129.56703,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 137.37500, 137.31250, 123.68750, 122.59375, 118.09375, 115.00000,
• 6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.82656 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.89047 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.01000 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 129.96781 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 140.12406 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 160.56375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in transition. Short- and intermediate-term trends have shifted bullish, as indicated by the WSFG and MSFG both trending up and price holding above their respective NTZ/F0% levels. Recent trade signals confirm renewed buying interest, with multiple long entries triggered in mid-April. The swing pivot structure, however, still reflects a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term pivots, suggesting that the current rally is a countertrend move within a broader bearish context. Long-term technicals remain bearish, with price well below the 20, 55, 100, and 200 week moving averages, all of which are trending down. Resistance levels are stacked above, with significant overhead supply near 123.68750 and 137.37500, while support is established at 114.59375 and 111.21875. The market appears to be staging a recovery from recent lows, but faces a challenging environment with long-term momentum still negative. This setup is characteristic of a potential bear market rally or a larger consolidation phase, where short-term bullish momentum may persist until tested by major resistance or a reversal in the broader trend.