UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-16 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 118.015625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 20%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 117.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 115.46875,
• 5. Levels R: 122.53125, 120.03125, 119.0625, 118.53125, 118.125, 117.9375, 117.1875,
• 6. Levels S: 116.34375, 115.46875, 114.9375, 114.28125, 112.8125, 112.4375, 111.28125.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.65625 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.6825 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.48875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.44375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.03125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.28413 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 117.1875 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a notable shift in momentum, with recent price action breaking above both the weekly and monthly session fib grid centers (F0%), indicating a short- and intermediate-term bullish bias. The swing pivot structure confirms this, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends in an uptrend, and the most recent pivot evolving to a new high. Multiple resistance levels are stacked above, with the nearest at 118.53125 and major resistance at 122.53125, while support is established at 116.34375 and below. Benchmark moving averages reinforce the bullish short- and intermediate-term outlook, as the 5, 10, and 20-day MAs are all trending up, though the longer-term 55, 100, and 200-day MAs remain in a downtrend, reflecting persistent bearishness on the broader timeframe. ATR and volume metrics suggest moderate volatility and participation. Recent trade signals have triggered long entries, aligning with the current upward momentum. Overall, the market is in a recovery phase with a bullish bias in the short and intermediate term, but faces significant overhead resistance and a still-bearish long-term structure, suggesting the potential for further upside retracement within a larger downtrend context.