UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-14 07:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116'20 (129.56703 on price axis marker),
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114.59375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 119.53125,
• 5. Levels R: 123.68750, 122.59375, 121.00000, 119.53125, 117.81250, 115.09375,
• 6. Levels S: 114.59375, 111.21875.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.82556 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.89047 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.09670 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 129.96781 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 140.12430 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 156.56375 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 13 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.03125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart shows a market in a corrective phase within a broader long-term downtrend. Price action is currently exhibiting medium-sized bars with average momentum, suggesting neither strong conviction nor extreme volatility. Short-term WSFG and intermediate-term MSFG both show price above their respective NTZ/F0% levels and are trending up, but this is countered by the swing pivot trends, which remain down for both short and intermediate terms. The most recent swing low at 114.59375 is being tested, with the next potential resistance at 119.53125. All major moving averages (from 5-week to 200-week) are trending down, reinforcing the dominant bearish structure. Recent trade signals indicate mixed short-term activity (both long and short entries), reflecting choppy, range-bound conditions rather than a clear directional move. Overall, the market is consolidating near support after a prolonged decline, with short-term attempts to rally facing significant overhead resistance and persistent long-term bearish pressure.