UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-14 07:10 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.21,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 117.1875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 115.4375,
• 5. Levels R: 118.2859, 118.0615, 117.5061, 117.1875,
• 6. Levels S: 116.3653, 115.4375, 114.5837.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.4887 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.0842 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.3653 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.1767 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.0825 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.2841 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.65625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.71875 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 13 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 116.03125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a recent shift in momentum, with price action rebounding from recent lows and establishing a short-term uptrend. Both the weekly and monthly session fib grids indicate price is above their respective NTZ centers, supporting a bullish bias in the short and intermediate term. Swing pivot analysis confirms this, with both short-term and intermediate-term trends in an uptrend phase, and the next key pivot to watch is a potential pullback to 115.4375. Resistance levels cluster above at 117.1875 and 118.2859, while support is firm at 116.3653 and 115.4375. Moving averages reinforce the mixed outlook: short-term and 20-day MAs are trending up, but the 55, 100, and 200-day MAs remain in downtrends, highlighting longer-term bearishness. ATR and volume metrics suggest moderate volatility and participation. Recent trade signals have flipped to long, aligning with the short-term bullish reversal. Overall, the market is in a recovery phase with bullish momentum in the short and intermediate term, but faces significant overhead resistance and a still-bearish long-term structure, suggesting the current rally is a countertrend move within a broader downtrend.