UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2026-Apr-07 07:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 116.11,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Apr

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2026

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 114.60375,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 117.28125,
• 5. Levels R: 118.0625, 116.90625, 116.59375, 115.40625, 114.4375,
• 6. Levels S: 114.60375, 112.28175.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.53125 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.1875 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.56273 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.71875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.28 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 118.29413 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 07 Apr 2026: Long UB 06-26 @ 116.625 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 02 Apr 2026: Short UB 06-26 @ 115.78125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market in transition. Price action is currently subdued with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is up, with price above the weekly NTZ center, but this is countered by a dominant downtrend in both the intermediate (monthly MSFG) and long-term (yearly YSFG) session fib grids, where price remains below their respective NTZ centers. Swing pivot analysis confirms a short-term and intermediate-term downtrend, with the most recent pivot low at 114.60375 and the next potential reversal at 117.28125. Resistance levels are clustered above, while support is defined at 114.60375 and 112.28175. All benchmark moving averages across timeframes are trending down, reinforcing the broader bearish structure. Recent trade signals show mixed short-term activity, with a recent long signal following two short entries, highlighting choppy, indecisive price action. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is average. Overall, the market is consolidating after a significant decline, with short-term attempts to rally facing strong overhead resistance and prevailing bearish momentum on higher timeframes.